Crash Auto-Cashout: 1.5x vs 2x vs 10x
A 2x auto-cashout target and a 10x auto-cashout target have identical long-run EV. They have wildly different ways of getting there.
Same EV, different rides
Because Crash is house-banked, the probability of any cashout target hitting before the round busts falls as the target rises — a low target hits often, a high target rarely. Crucially, every target carries the same long-run edge: the expected value per dollar staked is the same whether you cash at 2x, 10x, or near the cap.
What changes is the distribution of outcomes around that mean. 2x cashout gives the steadiest experience: more hits, smaller wins, and smaller swings. 10x cashout means longer losing stretches between larger hits. 100x cashout is mostly losses with a rare jackpot.
Cashout target is a variance dial, not an EV dial. Pick by how much drama you can stand, not by which number sounds clever.
A hundred bets at three targets
Imagine $1 per bet, 100 bets. At 2x you hit more often than higher targets and lose the rest, so the result moves in smaller swings around the same negative expectation.
At 10x you win only a handful of those hundred rounds. The long-run expectation is still negative, but your bankroll path looks like a long flatline punctuated by sudden +$10 jumps.
At a near-cap target you might win only once or twice across the hundred. The expectation is unchanged. Bankroll path is a long downward slide with occasional dramatic recovery.
The 100x ceiling
Auto-cashout caps at 100.00x server-side. The engine evaluates auto-cashouts before ending the round on each tick, so a 100x target can fire when the committed crash point reaches the cap.
If you want to chase the absolute peak, set 100.00x and accept that it lands only very rarely — most rounds bust long before they get there.
Combining with stop rules
Auto-cashout pairs well with session-level rules. Pick a target, set a stop-loss at -50% of your starting balance, set a take-profit at +50%. Stop the moment either triggers, no exceptions.
The long-run loss rate doesn't change — that's fixed by the house edge — but stop rules limit how dramatic any single session gets. Variance management is the only knob you control. Use it.
Frequently asked questions
- What's the best cashout target for profit?
- There isn't one. Every target has the same long-run loss rate. Pick the variance level you can stand.
- Can my 100x auto-cashout fire?
- Yes, but rarely. The paid cap is 100.00x, and auto-cashout can target 100.00x exactly.
- Is 1.01x basically a guaranteed win?
- No. It hits most rounds, but a meaningful share of rounds bust at 1.00x exactly — those are total losses, and they land often enough that the long-run is still negative-EV like every other target.
- Can the bankroll calculator compare targets?
- Yes. /tools/crash-ev shows hit probability, EV per dollar, and expected ruin time for any target, stake size, and bankroll.