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  1. Home
  2. /Tools
  3. /Case EV

Rust case EV calculator

Calculate the exact expected value, house edge, and RTP of any Rust case by pasting its contents (value:weight pairs) and price. Works for RustSnowball cases and any competitor case. Free, client-side, no signup.
Expected value
$22.40
House edge
54.3%
RTP
45.7%
Items
12

Best drop: $100.00 (probability 12.00%). Worst drop: $0.01.

How the math works

Expected value of a case = sum of (item_value × item_probability) for every item, where item_probability = item_weight / total_weights. House edge = 1 - (EV / case_price). RTP = EV / case_price.

Honest case operators publish full per-item weights — these can be plugged into the calculator and should reproduce the operator's own claimed EV exactly. Discrepancies are either weight normalisation bugs (rare) or hidden house take (red flag).

Related

  • RustSnowball case catalog
  • What is Rust case opening
  • Best Rust case opening sites

Frequently asked questions

How do I find a case's contents?
On any operator site, each case displays its contents with implied weights. On RustSnowball, browse the /cases catalog — each case page lists every drop with its weight. For competitor cases, copy from their case detail page.
Why does my EV calculation differ from the operator's?
Either: (a) operator hides a weight you missed, (b) weights are normalised differently, (c) operator includes a "house take" cut on top of contents EV. Honest case operators publish full weights — those should reproduce exactly.
What's a "good" EV ratio?
A case's EV is always below its price — the gap is the house edge, and a smaller gap means more value per case. Paste a case's real contents and price above to see its exact EV, house edge, and RTP.

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