Rust case EV calculator
- Expected value
- $22.40
- House edge
- 54.3%
- RTP
- 45.7%
- Items
- 12
Best drop: $100.00 (probability 12.00%). Worst drop: $0.01.
How the math works
Expected value of a case = sum of (item_value × item_probability) for every item, where item_probability = item_weight / total_weights. House edge = 1 - (EV / case_price). RTP = EV / case_price.
Honest case operators publish full per-item weights — these can be plugged into the calculator and should reproduce the operator's own claimed EV exactly. Discrepancies are either weight normalisation bugs (rare) or hidden house take (red flag).
Related
Frequently asked questions
- How do I find a case's contents?
- On any operator site, each case displays its contents with implied weights. On Rust Snowball, browse the /cases catalog — each case page lists every drop with its weight. For competitor cases, copy from their case detail page.
- Why does my EV calculation differ from the operator's?
- Either: (a) operator hides a weight you missed, (b) weights are normalised differently, (c) operator includes a "house take" cut on top of contents EV. Honest case operators publish full weights — those should reproduce exactly.
- What's a "good" EV ratio?
- Case EV across operators is typically 80-95% of case price (i.e. a 5-20% house edge). Rust Snowball calibrates every case to ~80% RTP (a 20% house edge) so the disclosed odds are consistent across the whole catalog.
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